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Home Authors Corner

The Labubu effect: How an ‘ugly-cute’ toy beat the algorithms

In this article, Ashita Aggarwal explains that Labubu’s success lies in tapping basic human emotions—curiosity, imperfection, surprise—showing that simple ideas and cultural relevance can outperform data-obsessed, over-optimized marketing strategies.

by Guest Column
July 1, 2025
in Authors Corner
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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The Labubu effect: How an ‘ugly-cute’ toy beat the algorithms
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In 2024, as marketers obsessed over AI targeting and attribution models, one of the world’s biggest consumer crazes emerged from a surprisingly simple idea: sell toys in unmarked boxes so buyers don’t know what they’re getting. This blind box model helped transform Labubu from a niche collectible into a $419 million franchise for Pop Mart.

It’s a reminder that some of the biggest opportunities lie in mechanisms that seem too basic to matter.

The magic was always in the mystery

When Blackpink’s Lisa first encountered Pop Mart’s blind box toys, she was drawn to both the characters and the purchasing experience itself. The uncertainty of not knowing which specific design you’d receive became part of the appeal, transforming routine purchasing into an event worth documenting and sharing. The blind box turned purchasing from a rational decision into an emotional event. Videos of people anxiously unboxing their purchases—sometimes erupting in joy, sometimes in disappointment—became content millions wanted to watch. The product became secondary to the experience of discovery.

Lesson: This wasn’t just sophisticated behavioural psychology but a toy company taking the simple concept behind baseball card packs and applying it to designer collectibles. The idea of ‘hiding what you’re buying until you buy it’ created an experience that felt fresh in a world of perfect product photography, elaborate packaging, and detailed specifications.

When ‘flaws’ become features

Labubu’s aesthetic shouldn’t work according to conventional wisdom. Focus groups would likely recommend softening the sharp teeth, making the proportions more balanced, or creating more conventionally appealing expressions. Yet, according to social listening analysis by Meltwater, from January to May 2025, there were about 19,800 mentions of “cute” in Labubu discussions compared to about 4,000 mentions of “ugly”—despite “ugly-cute” being the toy’s defining characteristic.

The deliberately imperfect design gave the toys a personality in ways that polished alternatives couldn’t match. Each Labubu’s slightly mischievous expression suggested a character with actual thoughts and moods, rather than blank perfection designed to offend no one.

Lesson: This points to something simple that many brands miss: distinctiveness often matters more than broad appeal. A character that 100% of people find “nice” will create less passionate attachment than one that 60% of people find irresistible—even if 40% find it off-putting. Flaws made Labubu more humane and relatable.

The Scarcity That Actually Worked

Pop Mart’s distribution strategy included weekly restocks that sell out in seconds, creating genuine scarcity rather than artificial limitation. The company wasn’t restricting supply to inflate prices; they were simply struggling to meet explosive demand. The enthusiasm became so intense that Pop Mart suspended sales in UK stores, citing the need to prevent safety issues.

This distinction matters enormously. Consumers can sense the difference between manufactured scarcity (limited editions created solely for exclusivity) and organic scarcity (limited availability due to genuine overwhelming demand). The latter builds community among buyers; the former often breeds resentment.

Lesson: It wasn’t just FOMO. The lesson isn’t that scarcity creates value, but that when genuine enthusiasm meets limited availability, the combination amplifies itself. Social media documentation of the purchasing experience didn’t create demand for rare items—it revealed demand that had always existed but hadn’t yet been visible.

Adult collectors in hiding

Perhaps the most surprising element of Labubu’s success was discovering how many adults wanted toys for themselves—not their children. According to market research firm Circana, adult shoppers drove more than $800 million in year-over-year growth in the U.S. toy market in 2024, with adults accounting for the highest spending among all age groups.

This market was hiding in plain sight. The “kidult” phenomenon wasn’t new—adults had been buying toys for years, often disguised as gifts or rationalised as investments. Labubu gave people permission to enjoy something purely because it brought them joy.

Lesson: Traditional category definitions often obscure real consumer behaviour. Adults weren’t shopping in toy stores because toy stores weren’t designed for adults. Pop Mart created retail environments that felt more like galleries than children’s stores, allowing adults to engage with products they’d wanted all along.

The luxury handbag test

When celebrities like Rihanna appeared with Labubu charms on luxury handbags, it created a fascinating cultural moment: a $25 toy enhancing the status of expensive accessories. This wasn’t about the toy borrowing prestige from the bag—it was about cultural relevance transcending price points.

The charm worked because it signalled cultural awareness and participation in a moment. According to Vogue Business, Labubus became the #1 collectibles release ever on resale platform StockX, with an average resale price of $208—a 24% premium over retail. Carrying the right Labubu at the right time became a form of social currency that had nothing to do with spending power and everything to do with cultural timing.

Lesson: This highlights something marketers often miss. In a world where everyone can access to the same luxury goods through credit and resale, real status increasingly comes from knowing what matters right now. Cultural fluency beats financial flex.

Simple ideas, complex emotions

The Labubu phenomenon succeeded because it combined several simple concepts that addressed real psychological needs. The blind box satisfied curiosity and gave purchasing a narrative structure. The “ugly-cute” aesthetic allowed people to embrace imperfection. Each Labubu had a story and emotion, which created a personal connection.

None of these ideas required breakthrough technology or revolutionary insights. They were all adaptations of existing ideas applied in a fresh context. The innovation was in the combination, not the individual parts.

Lesson: The blind box model had existed for decades in different forms—baseball cards, arcade prize games, even Cracker Jack boxes. Pop Mart’s insight was recognising that the mechanism still had untapped potential when applied to adult designer collectibles that came with a story.

What everyone else missed

The Labubu success story isn’t about predicting viral phenomena or manufacturing desire from nothing. It’s about recognising that simple mechanisms—mystery purchasing, imperfect design, genuine scarcity, stories that connect, and adult playfulness—can have an outsized impact when they address unmet emotional needs.

Most brands focus on optimising what they’re already doing rather than questioning whether they’re doing the right things at all. They fine-tune targeting algorithms instead of asking whether their core value proposition resonates. They refine customer journeys instead of wondering whether customers want to take those journeys in the first place.

Labubu succeeded because it made purchasing emotionally interesting again. The blind box turned buying into playing. The distinctive design turned displaying into expressing personality. The community aspect turned collecting into belonging. These aren’t complex insights requiring extensive research. They’re simple ideas that were waiting to be noticed.

The hardest part wasn’t execution—it was recognising that something so basic could matter so much.

(Views are personal).

Tags: Ashita AggarwalLabubu effect

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