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Sport will not reverse declines in linear TV ad spend: Warc Media’s Global Ad Trends report

by MN4U Bureau
February 7, 2024
in Featured, Analysis, Exclusive
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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LinkedIn ad revenue is forecast to reach $9.7bn (+18.5%) in 2026 and $11.3bn (+16.2%) in 2027: WARC
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Global spend on sports media rights is forecast to reach $61 billion this year, but a fragmented media landscape poses dilemmas for brand advertisers

In the US brands are expected to spend an additional $2 billion on the Paris Olympics while Euro 2024 will drive €250 million in incremental ad spend across Europe – yet the boost will not be enough to reverse TV’s decline. Warc Media’s Global ad Trends report has been published today. It is called Sports media in the era of fragmentation.

Key findings included in the report are:

  • Global spending on sports media rights is forecast to reach $60.9 billion in 2024, per Sports Business data, up 18.9% on pre pandemic levels.
  • 2024 will be a major year for live sport and mass audience reach with the return of Summer Olympics and Paralympics, Uefa Euro 2024, and the T20 Cricket World Cup.
  • But as mentioned earlier sport will not reverse declines in linear TV ad spend.
  • In the UK (-1.6%) and Germany (-0.6%), spend with linear TV is forecast to remain in decline throughout the summer of 2024, although France bucks the trend (+4.9%).
  • In the US, a recovery of linear TV spend (+6.3%) will owe more to favourable year-on-year comparisons and the upcoming US Presidential election than to sport.
  • 93% of 18-24s engage with sport on social media at least weekly.
  • 73% of those planning to watch Super Bowl LVIII on 11 February intend to watch the commercials.

At a time when marketers are increasingly reliant on sport for mass reach, the sector faces fragmentation. Live

sports rights are splintering between broadcast, over-the-top (OTT or streaming) and mobile apps, while social platforms are rising in importance for fans.

The report, examines sport’s new media landscape, the challenges and opportunities for brand advertisers and how rights holders plan to sustain the economics of sport in the years ahead.

Alex Brownsell
Alex Brownsell

Alex Brownsell, Head of Content, Warc Media, says: “Sport is one of the last providers of true ‘water cooler moments’, and this year’s bumper schedule of major sporting events, such as the summer Olympics and Paralympics in Paris, the Uefa European Football Championships, and the T20 Cricket World Cup, will provide advertisers with unrivalled means to achieve mass reach. 

“However, these enduring qualities are under threat as consumption fragments. In this report we take a closer look at the current state of sport advertising at a time when media consumption poses a dilemma for brand advertisers.”

Key insights highlighted in Warc’s Sports media in the era of fragmentation are:

  • Major live sport moments still deliver mass audience reach 

Over 115 million viewers tuned in across Fox properties to watch Kansas City Chiefs defeat the Philadelphia

  • Eagles in Super Bowl LVII last year making it the most watched US telecast of all time.

TV firms are spending ever greater sums for sports rights: Global spending on sports media rights is forecast to reach $60.9bn in 2024, per SportsBusiness data, up 18.9% on pre pandemic levels, with traditional broadcasters digging deeper to retain access to prime sports assets.

Fragmentation of sports rights threatens mass reach moment: FL coverage spans broadcast and cable TV (NBC, ESPN) as well as OTT (Peacock, Amazon Prime, YouTube TV) and mobile app (NFL+). It is becoming costlier and more complex for fans to follow all live games.

Social media is taking centre stage as a sports channel: 93% of 18-24s engage with sport on social media at least weekly. However, Gen Z fandom is more ‘fluid’. Younger cohorts are often more interested in athletes’ stories, rather than teams or competitions.

Streamers are tapping into a passion for sports stories: Amazon and Netflix are beginning to acquire live sports rights. However, they are also capitalising on a desire for behind the scenes storytelling, with documentary series such as Netflix’s F1: Drive to Survive.

Advertising remains a key part of the Super Bowl experience: Nearly three quarters (73.0%) of those planning to watch Super Bowl LVIII on 11 February intend to watch the  commercials. Last year’s broadcast earned Fox an estimated $650m in gross ad revenue, with brands spending up to $7m for a 30 second spot.

Adrian Sutherland, VP, Publicis Sports said, “Sports is the one constant within media plans. Live sport is getting the eyeballs and sport content is getting the engagement. However, in some sports, local fans may need at least three separate subscriptions to watch a full season of games. It is imperative platforms keep a strong content plan in place to keep consumers engaged.”

Global Ad Trends, is a quarterly report which draws on Warc’s dataset of advertising and media intelligence to take a holistic view on current industry developments. It is part of Warc Media, which provides benchmarks aggregated and verified from over 100 sources. The aim is to empower media decision makers plan strategies with precision. Warc Media is available by subscription.

Feedback: [email protected]

Tags: Alex BrownsellGlobal Ad TrendsWARC MediaWarc Media's Global Ad Trends report

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